So Apple will announce Q1 2018’s earnings on February the 1st. This is where the official numbers for iPhone X would be out. A source from Fortune covered this.
You can click on the link above and read about it but here is what the preliminary numbers are at.
The tech giant sold 29 million iPhone units in the fourth quarter. That was enough to make the iPhone X the most popular iPhone Apple sold during the period, topping the iPhone 8 and iPhone 8 Plus.
As we know, INARI has a very strong relation to Broadcom which is Apple’s top supplier for RF Chips and the highly anticipated iPhone X remains the top product that could help Broadcom in breaking its historical barrier.
In relation to that, Apple’s iPhone X sales is what made us held on to INARI all this while and we didn’t bother to sell although it went all the way to RM3.80. Previous quarter’s results reported by INARI have yet to include 100% of the numbers by the latest iPhone X and we think that this quarter should show clearly the inclusion.
It would be a week from now till Feb 1st until we get the latest numbers of the iPhone X. We should be able to see spikes within this week and possibly pushing the price to close to previous high of RM3.80.
Putting a bet that iPhone X sales would be good, we think that the holding period continues up till the week prior to INARI’s results release. Which meant that it all comes down to the week right before Chinese New Year.
What wasn’t said had already been said by the stock price that flies this morning. It is easy to read when quarterly reports post higher revenue and higher profit where there’s no argument to be made clear unlike the TUNEPRO review (< click for link) that we posted earlier.
Although this is the record quarter for Inari, we think that it is not over for the obvious fact that Q1 2018 which ended in September 2017 doesn’t factor in the iPhone X yet. The teardown for the latest iPhone X has already been done and I count 3 parts in the preliminary teardown.
It’s pretty obvious that you can see RM 2.83 is the highest and it looses momentum just around that price. RM 2.82 is the clear resistance that we are facing and requires something like above average iPhone X sales just to push it a little further.
iPhone X Preorders Starts
Today (23 Oct 2017) is the day where Apple throws the iPhone X pre-orders in US. The 1 week preliminary round of orders could determine the direction of this stock. Expect to see that the iPhone X preliminary sales numbers to come out this weekend.
Now, back to INARI. We think that everybody’s buy point should be the same as the obvious shouldn’t be let go when opportunity strikes. That is why we recommended the stock specifically at a certain point.
Now that your holdings is making a little money, I would say that it is up to you to determine the risk that you are willing to take. If you hold huge amount of shares, then it’s pretty obvious that you start selling. But if you trust that iPhone X sales will do well then it’s holding on all the way.
Note: We are still holding as we believe weak iPhone 8 sales would prove that the interest for iPhone X is higher!
Well the biggest benefit definitely goes to Inari Amertron (INARI) but of course we are unsure how many parts would Broadcom be involved in until someone tears down the iPhone X.
Broadcom recently stated that there would be a 40% in blended content in the new iPhone model. The non-RF components are expected to be taking place such as wireless charging and touch controller. This would not benefit Inari Amertron which specializes in RF Chips.
It looks like this time around, the retina scanning module by Inari would not make it into the new iPhone.
Globetronics (GTRONIC) on the other hand might see a better gain in revenue spike from the new iPhone. Light and gesture sensors equipped on the new devices would paved the road for the company. 3D sensors that are coming into the market in 2018 would see a new revenue stream with higher margins for GTRONIC.
The launch of iPhone 8 and iPhone X came out together but the only the iPhone 8 is available for pre-order. We felt that this would lag iPhone suppliers by around a month or so before it register true sales numbers.
Customers would love to compare both before buying and pre-orders for iPhone X to begin only in Oct 27. Foresee that most suppliers to remain weak for September and October. We expect iPhone 8 not to register good numbers even though the selling price is much cheaper than the iPhone X. Commonly, iPhone buyers are not price concern and doesn’t seem to prefer anything secondary to the top product.
The approach is simple now, if you are still holding to any iPhone based suppliers be sure to be holding on to it. If you are looking to jump in and leverage on what we think is one of Apple’s best product in years, fell free to buy on market weakness in the next two months or so.